Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 13.001195 14.648430 16.502344 18.759214 21.453823 24.595217 28.575025
2025-06-29 10.338795 12.291318 14.659558 17.791658 21.899902 27.215639 34.806241
2025-07-06 8.879609 10.922742 13.523625 17.159576 22.251036 29.357673 40.480504
2025-07-13 8.749132 11.147228 14.358224 19.123177 26.299135 37.233335 56.367480
2025-07-20 8.236862 10.769848 14.291829 19.762846 28.489828 42.780248 70.319260
2025-07-27 7.502044 9.989995 13.543606 19.250320 28.751329 45.192772 79.418507
2025-08-03 7.172307 9.745040 13.531083 19.843750 30.886116 51.291132 98.027999
2025-08-10 6.687216 9.221189 13.033484 19.572052 31.451973 54.571951 111.861532
2025-08-17 6.268937 8.759432 12.581586 19.308227 31.968050 57.849326 127.157423
2025-08-24 5.929517 8.389564 12.237238 19.179314 32.703889 61.753813 146.103259
2025-08-31 5.563791 7.950647 11.740679 18.717189 32.698361 63.994675 161.461427
2025-09-07 5.299590 7.653735 11.452863 18.599567 33.373144 68.009117 185.023096
2025-09-14 4.908192 7.139962 10.781863 17.736555 32.429357 68.033073 195.768516
2025-09-21 4.542084 6.647607 10.115778 16.823566 31.260773 67.262190 203.531139
2025-09-28 4.262922 6.281877 9.642818 16.238120 30.739878 68.130879 219.044976
2025-10-05 4.375994 6.574003 10.344413 18.057954 36.114819 87.620718 343.282201
2025-10-12 4.296744 6.532580 10.440458 18.649710 38.666805 99.805954 453.270687
2025-10-19 4.081497 6.242715 10.056086 18.175618 38.395762 102.433685 505.670657
2025-10-26 4.012278 6.203909 10.138021 18.724516 40.962705 116.426950 681.303790
2025-11-02 3.850725 5.991953 9.874485 18.473262 41.273225 122.002827 799.114197
2025-11-09 3.701356 5.794115 9.625155 18.229200 41.566769 127.728518 941.026659
2025-11-16 3.576018 5.633346 9.437737 18.109910 42.213961 135.388813 1144.703481
2025-11-23 3.425309 5.419222 9.131905 17.682107 41.854163 138.380298 1297.457543